Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investments carry risk, including the risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Position Disclosure: The author holds positions in the following symbols: AAPL, ACHR, AISP, ALAB, AMD, AMZN, APLD, APP, ASTS, AUR, AVAV, AVGO, BBAI, BEAM, BFLY, BKSY, BRK.B, CEG, CLS, COHR, CRDO, CRNC, CRSP, CRWV, DNA, ETH, FIVN, GOOG, GOOGL, HURA, IBIT, IONQ, IREN, JOBY, KTOS, LITE, MBLY, META, MRVL, MSFT, MU, NBIS, OKLO, OUST, PATH, PDYN, PL, PLTR, POET, QBTS, QUBT, RCAT, RGTI, RKLB, RLAY, SMR, TEM, TLN, USMV, VGT, VICR, VRT, VST.
Forecasts lean into compute-first TechBio and automation as AI infrastructure tightens, while funding and credibility gates force resets in deep-tech and space/defense.
This preview provides a snapshot of our comprehensive weekly analysis covering the most promising opportunities aligned with "The Last Economy" thesis. Our full reports track fundamental shifts in technology, capital deployment, and value creation through 2030.
What's Included: This week's directional theme, key sector movements, notable winners and losers, and major risk shifts. Our full weekly update provides detailed asset-level analysis, quantified metrics, and interactive screening tools.
Also available as a PDF download.
This Week's Directional Theme
Net signals continue to validate the
Last Economy thesis (total_signal +7.855) as the center of gravity shifts further toward compute allocation: Microsoft’s in-house
inference silicon deployment, Meta’s $115B–$135B
capex guidance, and OpenAI’s reported $40B fundraising talks reinforce a capital-and-capacity arms race, while export-control momentum further securitizes compute. The principal resistance is not model capability but buildout friction: proposed state moratoria in Georgia/Oklahoma, grid stress during winter peaks, and intensified operator lobbying point to siting/energy as a schedule constraint. A second tension is capital discipline: markets are increasingly ROI-sensitive even as...
Sectors on the Move
-
↑
TechBio platforms ↑ in 5y EV ranks on autonomous labs + compute-first discovery; M.I.N.D. trends still deteriorating
[execution, med conf]
DNA, RXRX, SDGR, RLAY
-
↔
Robotics/automation ↑ in 5y EV ranks (indoor delivery + lidar) while legacy ADAS outlook resets on slower FY26 ramp
[execution, med conf]
SERV, OUST, AUR, MBLY
-
↓
Defense/space AI data ↓ in 5y EV ranks as reporting/financing credibility gates persist, despite pockets of enterprise-AI strength
[macro_regulatory, med conf]
SPIR, PDYN, AI
Winners & Losers
- Top gainers: DNA, NNOX, RXRX, AI, AUR
- Notable upward movers: DNA, NNOX, RXRX, MSTR, AI
- Notable downward movers: PDYN, SPIR, MBLY, NTLA, BEAM
Risk Shifts
- Regulatory risk easing across software + services (still compliance-heavy)
- Concentration risk bifurcates: platforms de-risk while channel/backlog concentration rises
- Funding/capital intensity remains a gating factor in deep-tech names
What Members Get
Our full Weekly Update provides comprehensive coverage including full asset-level analysis with quantified movers and deltas, detailed risk shift analysis across all dimensions, sector dynamics and momentum tracking, individual symbol spotlights with thesis updates, complete Last Economy interpretation with supporting evidence, and interactive data plots and screener tools for Allocator and Builder members.
Latest Platform Updates (January 2026 - Week 3)
- Added constraint analysis that identifies bottlenecks and barriers—supply chain dependencies, regulatory hurdles, capacity limits—that could slow or accelerate a company's ability to capture growth. This surfaces hidden risks and opportunities that affect execution, helping you understand not just where a company is going but what stands in the way.
- Added path dependency and milestone mapping that charts the critical execution gates each company must pass through to realize its growth potential. This reveals which catalysts could trigger repricing events, how sequential the path is, and where fragility or optionality exists—giving you a clearer picture of timing and risk on the road to value creation.